Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1113.673115 1269.164783 1444.018998 1656.272408 1908.367238 2199.959396 2565.288838
2025-06-08 873.132031 1072.032135 1317.655715 1647.520627 2085.469723 2656.435048 3473.167334
2025-06-15 764.712738 983.815327 1271.007329 1683.179581 2273.431464 3110.687184 4431.031692
2025-06-22 658.978072 877.472241 1176.870141 1628.843611 2315.440939 3357.448650 5138.894283
2025-06-29 581.132456 795.970051 1101.372989 1582.457229 2351.244769 3589.279898 5865.936493
2025-07-06 516.957417 724.942027 1029.872966 1527.966971 2359.668080 3771.131441 6544.139268
2025-07-13 490.630543 705.549104 1031.286069 1584.855007 2555.301877 4302.833625 8009.881299
2025-07-20 459.799002 675.460867 1011.721223 1603.086806 2685.125269 4739.980838 9418.019258
2025-07-27 436.016599 653.571525 1002.058434 1635.491138 2844.034564 5263.927086 11185.471788
2025-08-03 413.466728 631.214177 988.703012 1658.604311 2987.808664 5787.103864 13138.316967
2025-08-10 398.753269 620.121747 992.771331 1713.319925 3202.670225 6511.985923 15898.340230
2025-08-17 380.733567 601.702805 981.914111 1737.735640 3358.253253 7139.404937 18666.023634
2025-08-24 359.247938 576.450002 958.034867 1737.021635 3467.689797 7705.675283 21604.983929
2025-08-31 338.542499 551.012244 931.653854 1728.564714 3560.586962 8263.376701 24859.681493
2025-09-07 325.807675 538.567767 927.973544 1766.273907 3768.535093 9191.784997 30045.279514
2025-09-14 302.972042 505.917552 882.612357 1708.642793 3732.701818 9418.668526 32630.325398
2025-09-21 283.255565 477.603158 843.238282 1659.444013 3709.949602 9681.549422 35576.089648
2025-09-28 264.377366 449.572938 802.141921 1601.679432 3655.442669 9833.954790 38155.504743
2025-10-05 259.220927 447.121187 812.039968 1661.986915 3929.939661 11149.309115 47694.908850
2025-10-12 250.344074 436.826199 804.923967 1681.320979 4095.138737 12155.631216 56664.149831
2025-10-19 243.438708 429.861253 804.078348 1715.691881 4311.812904 13437.857575 68921.834799
2025-10-26 236.098850 421.498495 799.496683 1740.213541 4505.005792 14714.996418 83011.913026
2025-11-02 231.904243 419.141764 807.642954 1798.282323 4817.309485 16628.943333 105369.324533